In March 2024, Bitcoin surpassed the $73,000 mark for the first time, reaching a new record of $73,750.07. The approval of Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. at the beginning of the year significantly contributed to this surge. This decision opened the cryptocurrency market to a broader range of investors and enhanced Bitcoin’s legitimacy as an asset class. But how does the price development look today, one year later? We analyze the actual price developments and evaluate the predictions made back then.
Bitcoin (BTC)
In the 2024 blog post, it was expected that a doubling of Bitcoin’s price to $146,000 was rather unlikely, which is why other tokens such as Solana and Tron seemed like potentially more interesting investments. As of February 2025, Bitcoin is priced at $95,824.25, which represents an increase of about 22.3% compared to the previous value of $73,750.07.
The prediction that Bitcoin would not reach the $146,000 mark has come true. While strong demand for Bitcoin persists, the risks associated with the concentration of Bitcoin holdings among large market participants and the increasing regulation of the crypto markets continue to cast doubts on its long-term stability. The volume risk, which was described as potentially dangerous for significant price fluctuations in the 2024 post, remains a constant concern as institutional investors and funds continue to enter the market. Therefore, Bitcoin remains volatile, but not necessarily a stable long-term investment.
Ethereum (ETH)
In March 2024, the price of Ethereum was around $3,000. Currently, ETH stands at $2,611.21, reflecting a decline of about 13%. Ethereum has established itself as a solid cryptocurrency, but its price development is influenced by the buying behavior of Bitcoin investors. Traditional financial investors who buy Bitcoin often extend their portfolios to Ethereum as well. However, when large Bitcoin holdings are sold, this can also negatively impact the Ethereum price.
Despite these fluctuations, Ethereum remains one of the leading blockchains for smart contracts and DeFi applications in 2025. The increasing competition from other Layer-1 blockchains such as Solana and ongoing scaling issues with Ethereum’s network, however, may slow down its growth. Still, Ethereum remains one of the more stable options in the crypto market.
Binance Coin (BNB)
In the 2024 blog post, the price of BNB was stated to be $560. Today, BNB is priced at $572.64, which represents a slight increase of 2.3%. Binance Coin remains an important utility token within the Binance ecosystem, which helps maintain stable demand. However, the increasing competition in both centralized and decentralized exchanges presents a growing risk for its future price development. Potential regulatory interventions in the Binance ecosystem could negatively impact the price.
Solana (SOL)
In the 2024 blog post, Solana’s price was quoted at $135. Today, Solana stands at $197.30, representing a remarkable increase of about 46.2%. Solana has established itself as one of the leading platforms for fast and cost-effective transactions, benefiting from wide acceptance in the DeFi sector. However, Solana remains a risky investment, as the blockchain has faced stability issues in the past. Nevertheless, its solid price performance suggests that Solana plays an important role in the DeFi space and has significant potential for further growth.
Tron (TRX)
In March 2024, Tron was priced at $0.12, and today TRX stands at $0.22, which represents an increase of 83.3%. Tron has gained a significant market position due to its low transaction fees and strong ecosystem of decentralized applications. This development shows that Tron has the potential to play a stable and significant role in the market in the long run.
Conclusion
The price development over the past months confirms many of the expectations from the 2024 blog post. Bitcoin, in particular, remains one of the most volatile cryptocurrencies, with an increase of around 22% since March 2024. However, the question of whether Bitcoin can be considered a stable long-term investment remains open. The volume risk, which has been amplified by the increasing involvement of institutional investors and large funds, continues to contribute to significant price fluctuations.
The other cryptocurrencies analyzed, such as Solana and Tron, have shown that alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum, there is potential for substantial price gains, particularly in the areas of DeFi and smart contracts. Solana, with an increase of 46.2%, and Tron, with a remarkable growth of 83.3%, have demonstrated that smaller but technologically innovative cryptocurrencies can gain significance.
BNB remains a stable choice but carries some risk due to the regulatory uncertainty surrounding the Binance ecosystem. If regulatory interventions occur, this could lead to a significant price drop.
Outlook for 2025
The question of whether Bitcoin will rise to $146,000 in the coming years remains open. Given the advancing regulation, fluctuations in demand, and increasing market risks, this price increase could take many years to materialize or may never happen.
The likelihood that cryptocurrencies like Solana (SOL) and Tron (TRX) will continue to develop positively has increased. Solana benefits from advancements in its own blockchain, while Tron continues to gain traction with its strong decentralized ecosystem and very low transaction costs. Should this trend continue, we foresee Tron in the long run among the top 5 largest cryptocurrencies. Those who continue to bet on Bitcoin should monitor the existing volume risks and the high potential for unexpected price movements and plan for appropriate hedging.